I suggest that there is no puzzle to this absence nor anything for HCES to be blamed for, as the absence is fully explainable by their making 2 statistical errors: base-rate neglect, and regression to the mean.įirst, their standards fall prey to a base-rate fallacy and even extreme predictive value of IQ would not predict 1 or more Nobel prizes because Nobel prize odds are measured at 1 in millions, and with a small total sample size of a few hundred, it is highly likely that there would simply be no Nobels. ![]() The authors suggest that this may reflect harmful educational practices at their elementary school or the low predictive value of IQ. Genius Revisited documents the longitudinal results of a high-IQ/gifted-and-talented elementary school, Hunter College Elementary School (HCES) one of the most striking results is the general high education & income levels, but absence of great accomplishment on a national or global scale (eg.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |